Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008881 0.010481 0.012412 0.014953 0.018270 0.022544 0.028626
2025-08-17 0.006512 0.008259 0.010602 0.014089 0.019378 0.027530 0.042078
2025-08-24 0.005279 0.006996 0.009454 0.013427 0.020121 0.031955 0.057555
2025-08-31 0.004687 0.006446 0.009112 0.013748 0.022380 0.039905 0.086955
2025-09-07 0.004114 0.005806 0.008475 0.013371 0.023204 0.045531 0.118274
2025-09-14 0.003641 0.005240 0.007842 0.012820 0.023460 0.050065 0.154180
2025-09-21 0.003345 0.004911 0.007542 0.012807 0.024842 0.058449 0.224364
2025-09-28 0.003179 0.004771 0.007542 0.013369 0.027786 0.073957 0.391594
2025-10-05 0.003107 0.004775 0.007794 0.014520 0.032802 0.102642 0.915744
2025-10-12 0.002964 0.004638 0.007756 0.015016 0.036294 0.131035 2.138833
2025-10-19 0.002767 0.004380 0.007443 0.014788 0.037471 0.150566 4.452436
2025-10-26 0.002623 0.004204 0.007272 0.014875 0.039801 0.182424 15.203431
2025-11-02 0.002423 0.003922 0.006879 0.014404 0.040305 0.207384 80.665485
2025-11-09 0.002214 0.003608 0.006386 0.013579 0.039174 0.218992 891.383623
2025-11-16 0.002045 0.003354 0.005992 0.012949 0.038584 0.236448 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001963 0.003261 0.005937 0.013254 0.042233 0.317858 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001843 0.003084 0.005673 0.012896 0.042695 0.365041 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001725 0.002900 0.005373 0.012372 0.042111 0.396935 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001649 0.002797 0.005248 0.012359 0.044215 0.502779 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001612 0.002768 0.005292 0.012894 0.049858 0.789185 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001605 0.002801 0.005486 0.013988 0.060331 1.688410 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001565 0.002761 0.005496 0.014459 0.067480 3.191646 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001497 0.002655 0.005329 0.014242 0.069288 4.569922 NaN